It’s the day after the election. The United States is hung over. And, it’s a bad one. The rest of the world is feeling sick. One of two things has occurred. Either the American people have elected Donald Trump or they voted Hillary Clinton into office. The United States on November 9, 2016, regrets its long drinking binge, known as the presidential elections. What was that, moonshine?
If the winner is Donald Trump, the vomiting by half of the American voting public will be heard round the world. The divisions in the country will intensify. The changes Trump supporters wanted will not occur. Sobriety will be unlikely. You see, Donald has only one issue that many people support, which is his tough stance on immigration. However, that issue evokes considerable opposition. Donald has no way to rally a majority of the people. He changes his mind. Defends his mistakes. Attacks people he hopes to lead. He doesn’t say what he will do, except for doing the impossible like building a wall and making Mexico pay. Donald simply has no mandate. Even the leadership of his own party doesn’t fully support him.
Donald is used to giving orders in the business world, but you have to work with others in politics, not insult them. He will quickly find out that presidential power has limits. Donald will undoubtedly issue some executive orders, but will get frustrated when people line up to oppose him. After his twentieth temper tantrum in twenty days, no one will listen to him. He will discover that it is far different being a critic than it is being in charge. The people he appoints, who he hopes will get the job done, will have no credibility.
Oh, he’ll make some changes. He’ll do some serious damage to this country and hurt our relationships abroad, but it won’t take long before Pence runs the show, like Cheney did in the early days of one of our least competent presidents, George Bush. The nuclear clock will tick closer to midnight. Climate change will worsen. The drinking will continue, but it won’t be like drinking at a party, it will be like drinking at a wake.
America won’t recover quickly from the Trump hangover and the Republican Party will get delirium tremens. The party, given a Trump victory, will effectively be ended by 2020. The only thing uniting the party right now is its opposition to Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton. Once Trump is elected to dismantle government and America realizes he can’t, he will be seen as an ineffective narcissist. People will ask how he became the nominee of the Republican party. Trump will, unfortunately, make things much worse in the process because whatever faith people had left in the government will be gone, and the country will be more divided than ever. Republicans will not have a Democratic president to blame when they elect majorities in both Houses. A conservative will be appointed to the Supreme Court. All three branches of the Republican government will make things worse quickly, but the Republicans will have no obvious scapegoats. They will need to blame someone for the devastation. The factions in their own party will blame each other when the deficit grows, the economy collapses, war spreads, and race riots begin. The rifts in the party will become cracks and the party will split.
If Hillary wins, hard-core Republicans will try to hold the party together by being against Her, as they have been doing by opposing Barrack Obama on his initiatives. There seems to be at least four different parties in the Republican party. But, the support for a Republican coalition is steadily losing ground as the growing population of millennials shows less interest in organized religion, more tolerance for minorities, increased dissatisfaction with politics as usual, and greater support for individuals over business. But, the old guard is still powerful, so look for multiple ongoing, nonstop investigations of Hillary Clinton in the House of Representatives if she is president. This won’t happen in the Senate because voters who turn out for a Hillary victory will elect a Democratic majority in the Senate. That shift will allow Clinton to push through some of her policies. But, it won’t amount to much. Hillary works hard, but she will not have any honeymoon in the White House.
Hillary is running at a time when the country wants change. If she wins, it will be because the country did not want the changes Donald Trump promises. Clinton has been in politics forever. We can expect things to stagnate under Clinton because of her high unfavorability ratings. While she is less disliked than Donald Trump, her opposition is still too strong and deep-seated to allow her to unite the country around her leadership. America, under her leadership, will keep on drinking and continue to get hangovers. Things won’t change. In the four years after she is elected, the country will still want an end to dysfunctional government. Hillary won’t be able to bring this about, nor will she symbolize progress. After her first term, she either won’t run again or will be defeated.
As the American people look to the future, they have to realize we need to stop drinking. It makes us fight. The hangovers are increasingly painful and the chances for drunken mishaps are too high. America needs better candidates for offices across the nation. America may hit rock bottom no matter who is elected president. However, the country is strong enough to recover. To do so, we have to admit that we need reform, we must stop partying, and our politicians have to put the country ahead of partisan politics.